Public sector contributes 20% to national income, accounts for 40% of total wages: Report

Mumbai: The public sector contributes only 20 percent to the national income, but accounts for nearly 40 percent of the total wages, a report by a domestic ratings agency said on Monday. The average share of the public sector in gross value addition for the 10 years ending FY21 is 19.2 percent but the share in wages is 39.2 percent, India Ratings and Research said in an analysis based on gross value added (GVA) data released by the National Statistical Office.

The share of the private sector in GVA and wages is "more evenly balanced," the agency said, pointing out that it accounts for 35.2 percent of the wages while its contribution to GVA is 36.3 percent for the same period.

Wage growth slow in public sector

It can be noted that those pressing for a lesser role of the state in the economy, often point out to the lack of efficiency in the public sector.

The agency's report said nominal wages grew at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.4 percent, while return on capital grew at a CAGR of 8.8 percent during FY12-FY21.

However, the data at the institutional classification level, presents a somewhat mixed picture, it said, pointing that wages grew fastest at a CAGR of 13.2 percent in the private sector, followed by the public sector at 10 percent and the household sector recorded the slowest wage growth at a CAGR of 7.2 percent.

From a returns on capital growth perspective, the household sector was the fastest at 9.1 percent during the same period, followed by the private sector at 8.9 percent, while the public sector was the lowest at 6.2 percent, the report said.

If one were to break up the decade into two, the data shows that growth both in wages and return on capital declined markedly in FY17-FY21, compared to FY12-FY16 period, the report said.

Since Demonetisation, growth on decline

It can be noted that ever since the demonetisation in 2016, growth had been steadily declining till the last quarter of FY20, when COVID-19 hit everybody and pushed it into contraction for a few quarters.

The report said the nominal wage growth slowed down to 6.1 per cent during FY17-FY21 from 11.9 per cent during FY12-FY16, impacting consumption demand.

The same is clearly visible in the nominal private final consumption expenditure (PFCE) growth which declined to 7.2 per cent during FY17-FY21 from 13.4 per cent during FY12-FY16.

More importantly the household sector, which accounts for 44.5 per cent of the GVA, saw their nominal wage growth declining to 5.7 per cent during FY17-FY21 from 8.2 per cent during FY12-FY16, the agency said, adding both wage growth and PFCE growth turned negative in the COVID-19-impacted year of FY21.

"Since much of the growth in consumption demand is driven by the wage growth of the household sector, a recovery in their wage growth is going to be critical for a sustainable recovery in consumption demand and overall GDP growth , Sunil Kumar Sinha, its senior director and principal economist said.

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